Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1383.735912 1519.214847 1657.328360 1808.383294 1968.664411 2133.391490 2315.208356
2025-05-11 1147.817991 1345.406608 1555.572534 1794.619634 2057.838135 2337.735081 2656.759696
2025-05-18 1013.536895 1248.047336 1505.448467 1806.569563 2146.802905 2517.048208 2948.114769
2025-05-25 899.004839 1156.760214 1447.597464 1796.133113 2198.546443 2644.843577 3173.439453
2025-06-01 824.248913 1102.359115 1423.777019 1816.927773 2279.107433 2799.721832 3424.937291
2025-06-08 742.073901 1031.422609 1373.816300 1800.985924 2311.821932 2895.675740 3605.861680
2025-06-15 700.765649 1006.264410 1374.979769 1842.525233 2409.444153 3064.975543 3870.452537
2025-06-22 648.164522 962.661834 1349.997890 1849.269343 2463.056113 3180.942730 4071.768426
2025-06-29 596.367414 916.217483 1318.140246 1844.572448 2500.400948 3275.865048 4247.130153
2025-07-06 527.521175 842.610790 1247.701410 1787.861868 2470.717139 3287.786648 4321.491465
2025-07-13 515.834178 844.940292 1274.284448 1853.283164 2591.946182 3482.297197 4615.662479
2025-07-20 492.269579 829.169008 1275.809361 1885.568407 2671.154882 3625.513628 4848.317389
2025-07-27 456.157565 794.201058 1250.907733 1883.335391 2707.355294 3717.358677 5021.035152
2025-08-03 418.582434 754.793965 1218.114052 1869.187897 2727.312491 3788.636126 5168.735620
2025-08-10 393.266738 731.634279 1206.135340 1881.477241 2780.422709 3900.797318 5366.838888
2025-08-17 362.532513 698.259816 1178.180279 1870.744280 2802.435302 3973.142423 5515.226380
2025-08-24 344.189890 682.679465 1174.391540 1892.129214 2866.098394 4098.075396 5729.569350
2025-08-31 316.058290 649.814247 1144.186420 1875.735033 2878.691794 4157.261742 5861.071112
2025-09-07 306.765765 646.566198 1156.648143 1918.450381 2970.097859 4317.713003 6120.978108
2025-09-14 288.334111 627.101601 1144.202935 1925.384638 3012.949010 4415.454961 6301.642123
2025-09-21 268.136360 603.306430 1124.146831 1920.555339 3039.183931 4491.293149 6454.386960
2025-09-28 236.351558 557.251047 1068.194647 1862.237654 2990.713118 4468.357777 6479.612430
2025-10-05 236.270925 567.041365 1098.539103 1929.511524 3115.585333 4673.583793 6799.471617